據路透社7月1日報道，游說團體IBP周二在一份報告中稱，巴西石油業預計，受進口不斷增長的推動，未來幾個月巴西國內需求將出現復蘇，但疫情負面影響預計將持續到2021年底。

據估計，在沒有協調減產的情況下，石油消費量可能會下降10%以上，油價應該在每桶20美元至40美元之間。

隨著疫苗的研制進展和全球石油產量的削減，在油價達到每桶60-70美元區間的情況下，消費量的降幅可能僅為5%。

鄒勤 摘譯自 路透社

原文如下：

Brazil's oil industry sees COVID-19 impact until the end of 2021

Brazil’s oil industry expects a recovery in domestic demand in the next months driven by growing imports, but the negative effects of COVID-19 are expected to last through the end of 2021, lobbying group IBP said in a note on Tuesday.

Consumption could drop by more than 10%, and oil prices should range between $20 and $40 per barrel without coordinated output cuts or social isolation, the institute estimated.

With a vaccine for the new coronavirus and production cuts, the drop in consumption could be limited to just 5%, with oil prices reaching the $60 to $70 range, it said. Brazil has the second-highest number of COVID-19 cases globally with more than 1.36 million cases.